Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2093.463455 2275.390776 2460.099894 2661.380257 2874.245397 3092.374137 3332.498631
2025-02-23 1809.776116 2081.125578 2367.435569 2690.887300 3044.975681 3419.685343 3845.043518
2025-03-02 1609.457165 1931.374139 2280.931341 2686.329322 3141.147221 3633.333011 4203.846378
2025-03-09 1485.524384 1847.390704 2249.774365 2726.480382 3271.863972 3872.496950 4580.053694
2025-03-16 1347.355508 1733.245280 2172.027933 2702.183423 3319.609077 4010.367618 4835.829983
2025-03-23 1277.700172 1691.785894 2171.599695 2760.909308 3457.341209 4246.512935 5200.497110
2025-03-30 1194.344920 1627.086316 2137.859293 2775.193979 3538.963925 4414.945750 5485.331140
2025-04-06 1114.842942 1561.337493 2097.795954 2777.321586 3602.403664 4559.392524 5740.439669
2025-04-13 1003.346539 1448.751897 1994.427557 2696.958997 3562.020724 4577.381415 5843.607406
2025-04-20 979.378123 1445.752637 2025.171809 2779.810770 3718.242047 4828.886908 6223.974310
2025-04-27 939.880326 1419.878280 2024.955161 2822.424070 3824.136076 5019.663786 6532.322703
2025-05-04 884.129270 1369.294476 1990.464368 2819.493393 3871.886047 5138.920821 6754.152347
2025-05-11 823.169436 1309.481266 1942.545858 2798.742234 3897.687473 5232.834557 6948.159574
2025-05-18 787.151169 1282.003495 1935.589079 2829.729970 3988.272110 5406.723331 7241.058933
2025-05-25 740.302167 1236.758485 1902.738475 2824.995437 4031.918432 5521.574556 7461.174190
2025-06-01 713.984971 1219.139968 1905.840304 2866.624138 4134.498848 5709.937229 7772.853435
2025-06-08 665.913120 1167.478469 1860.243193 2841.433851 4149.036191 5786.682422 7945.224914
2025-06-15 650.543460 1162.973134 1879.054435 2902.315048 4275.687722 6005.438925 8296.119923
2025-06-22 620.971720 1135.645433 1864.669701 2917.122009 4341.169178 6146.288019 8549.525168
2025-06-29 589.275788 1103.429666 1841.961313 2919.327343 4389.121434 6264.327082 8774.245772
2025-07-06 533.681117 1031.270922 1759.329317 2836.017042 4320.635818 6230.618935 8804.652813
2025-07-13 531.107152 1042.514783 1797.659927 2921.907442 4480.178263 6493.030749 9214.672436
2025-07-20 516.763333 1034.104668 1806.599376 2966.073580 4583.295870 6682.485943 9532.144711